Peter MuReading Journal

October 27, 2024

The Uncertainty Solution: How to Invest With Confidence in the Face of the Unknown

The Uncertainty Solution: How to Invest With Confidence in the Face of the Unknown

John M. Jennings

WE SHOULD EMBRACE THE INHERENT UNCERTAINTY OF THE FUTURE AND LEARN TO SIT IN OUR DISCOMFORT.

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This drive to discover patterns and explain them is a major factor in overconfidence

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Our reluctance to acknowledge unpredictability keeps us looking for predictive cues well beyond

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because a primary strategy for battling uncertainty is collecting more information

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Giving the right advice—that they shouldn’t make emotional changes to portfolios when the stock market is topsy-turvy—is hard because advisors are conditioned to give clients what they want.

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Confidence is part of what clients are paying for.

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My favorite investment book is The Success Equation: Untangling Skill and Luck in Business, Sports, and Investing by Michael Mauboussin.¹

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the level of skill increases, so does the role of chance in outcomes.

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